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November 30 - December 7, 2000

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Nader’s Fade, continued

By Micah L. Sifry

Nader also never really succeeded in crafting a more positive message from his relentless critique of the status quo. Although he listened to those who urged him to speak more to the “joy” in his avowed “politics of joy and justice,” he frequently fell back into a well-worn groove of excoriating the major parties — particularly the Democrats, for betraying their party’s ideals.

Putting the Greens on the map

Although Ralph nader’s run for the presidency failed to reach the five percent threshold that would have guaranteed the Green Party at least $8 million in federal funds for a presidential run in 2004, it still made tremendous advances that will benefit the Greens for years to come.

“Ralph raised his agenda for a working democracy in 50 states,” says Nader campaign manager Theresa Amato, “and we were the only campaign talking about issues like the death penalty, fair trade, campaign-finance reform, universal health care, and media concentration. We trained a new generation of activists to follow through on the Seattle movement, gave great visibility to the Green Party, and highlighted some of its local candidates. And we raised awareness of the corrupt Commission on Presidential Debates, filed two lawsuits against it, and also brought nine lawsuits seeking to open up state-ballot access.”

More specifically, the party succeeded in getting Nader’s name on 44 state ballots, including the one in Washington, DC. (The Greens weren’t able to get Nader on the ballot in Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Dakota, and Wyoming.) Party activists raised $8 million, energized 150,000 volunteers, started 500 local Green groups and 900 campus chapters, and, Amato estimates, brought in one million new voters. It’s quite an achievement for an organization that didn’t really get started until Labor Day.

Perhaps most important, however, Nader did get more than five percent of the vote in 11 states (Alaska, Colorado, Hawaii, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Montana, Oregon, Rhode Island, Utah, and Vermont ), as well as in Washington, DC. He won more than four percent in seven others (California, Connecticut, New Hampshire, New Mexico, New York, Washington, and Wisconsin) — giving him the potential to be a swing vote in perhaps 100 congressional districts.

“We are witnessing the birth pangs of a reform movement in America intent on ending the corruption of our democratic system by money,” former Clinton labor secretary Robert Reich observed in the current issue of the American Prospect, adding that “this is the hour for reform, not recrimination.”

From the right, historian Kevin Phillips noted in the Los Angeles Times that the combined vote for Al Gore and Ralph Nader was 52 percent, the highest since LBJ’s 1964 landslide. “Nader and his voters may now be what George C. Wallace was in 1968: a pivotal force to be courted,” wrote Phillips.

That said, many Democrats and their liberal-interest-group allies are consumed by vitriol for Nader’s renegade campaign — which they see as having cost Vice-President Al Gore the election (if, as currently looks likely, Texas governor George W. Bush wins). Ironically, however, it appears that Reform Party candidate Pat Buchanan “cost” Bush more states — Iowa, New Mexico, Oregon, and Wisconsin — than Nader cost Gore (assuming that every one of Buchanan’s and Nader’s voters would have gone to the major-party candidates).

The bottom line? Nader ran a serious campaign that carried forward the torch of reform lit earlier in the year by Republican John McCain, adding his own distinct, anti-corporate critique and challenging many Americans to consider their stake in fostering a “deep democracy.”

— MS

Nader was also distracted by personal attacks — the New York Times in particular got under his skin. This sometimes blurred his focus, as did his tendency to speak too long, testing the patience of his most adoring crowds. And his flip remark that abortion rights would simply “revert to the states” if Roe v. Wade were overturned by a Bush-stacked Supreme Court did little to dispel the fears of many liberals. Anti-Nader Gore-ites like Gloria Steinem had a field day with it.

But these stumbles don’t fully explain why Nader was not better prepared for the inevitable tendency of third-party leaners to melt away on Election Day. In this regard, the campaign made a strategic mistake when it failed to budget and raise enough money for a substantial ad run in the last two weeks before November 7. “You need a field campaign, absolutely,” says Bill Hillsman, the Minnesota ad whiz who produced Nader’s TV and radio ads. “But this was a case where we never reached critical mass with TV and radio. Our message never made it out to the independents in the suburbs. It was all focused on college campuses and urban centers.”

Nader himself was never thrilled about having to buy TV ads — when he and I first discussed the emerging campaign a year ago, he refused to commit even to doing broadcast ads, hoping to run the whole thing on a combination of grassroots organizing and free media coverage. And he was unimpressed when his campaign spent $800,000 broadcasting the critically acclaimed “Priceless” ad (a parody of MasterCard’s famous campaign) during the August convention season, pointing out that “our poll numbers went down afterwards.”

Others in the campaign argued that those ads — which drew secondary media attention after a humorless MasterCard sued — kept Nader on the playing field during the onslaught of convention coverage, and that his numbers went down because Gore began stealing his populist rhetoric, starting with his nomination-acceptance speech.

Nader disagreed, even after the election. “The clutter of ads at the end was staggering,” he says. “The Democrats spent $8 million in Michigan alone.” He prefers to point to places where extensive grassroots campaigning by local Naderites had a big impact. “We got 14 percent in Great Barrington and 33 percent in Sheffield” — two towns in liberal Western Massachusetts — “where we had two people going neighbor-to-neighbor for six months.”

Most of America is not like Western Massachusetts, however, culturally or even geographically. Grassroots political movements need to be organized, yes, and that takes tens of thousands of individuals doing the hard work of talking to their neighbors. But those people need to be motivated by the sense that they are part of something larger than themselves — a sense an effective national ad campaign might foster. As Hillsman says, “going from zero to five percent is much harder than going from five to 15 percent.” Noting Nader’s reluctance to put more money into media, Hillsman concludes, “I was never sure about how committed the candidate was to getting the five percent [needed for federal matching funds in ’04].”

The lack of paid media may have tilted Nader’s itinerary in the final weeks more toward swing states. The campaign had decided that, in aiming for at least five percent of the vote, it needed to shore up its base in those states where the ticket was already polling above that threshold — a strategy that meant going into some battleground states like Wisconsin and Minnesota. The campaigners also believed they would drop out of the news if they went only to “safe” states like Texas and New York.

To be sure, Nader did not get into the presidential race hoping he would have a free and easy ride — i.e., winning five percent of the vote without affecting the Bush-Gore contest. It was clear he wanted to teach the Democrats a lesson by hurting Gore, and the campaign never pushed the “safe states” message as hard as it could have. On the other hand, if all Nader wanted to do was deny Gore the election, then he could simply have rented a bus and campaigned solely in his Midwestern and Northwestern strongholds, rather than making multiple trips to New York and California.

In any event, the campaign spent only about $200,000 for paid media during the last two weeks, precisely when a host of Gore allies including the Sierra Club, the League of Conservation Voters, and NARAL were spending millions on ads directly attacking Nader and suggesting that a vote for him would elect Bush. And if there’s one rule in politics today, it’s that an attack on television must be answered on television.

Nader did have a good response in the can — an ad produced by Hillsman depicting kids contemplating their future (a parody of a Monster.com ad) that evoked the campaign’s essentially humanistic and uplifting purpose. But Nader worried that the ad would be seen as exploiting children and that as a long-time opponent of commercialism and commercials aimed at kids, he would be attacked as a hypocrite. Precious time was lost as the campaign debated what to do; the ad finally ran here and there, but only in the last four days of the election.

And so he ended up with 2.7 percent. But all this nitpicking skirts a more serious question: regardless of any fine-tuning that could have been done to his campaign, is it possible that Nader was just headed in the wrong direction? Specifically, should he have run less as the progressive prophet scolding the right-drifting Democratic Party and more as the maverick independent, zeroing in on the “buy-partisan” political establishment — especially as it became clear that Buchanan was not going to siphon off many votes from Bush, leaving a leftist Nader in a much more exposed “spoiler” position? Had Ralph mistakenly traded his “civic” armor built over decades for a “green” suit that didn’t fit?

Consider that when Nader campaigned in the 1992 New Hampshire primary and urged voters to write in his name “as a stand-in for ‘none of the above,’ ” he received two percent of the Democratic vote and two percent of the Republican vote. This somewhat surprising appeal across party lines was reflected in the large, diverse crowds that came to his rallies: middle-aged men with gun racks on their pick-ups and young professionals bothered by high real-estate prices, as well as the familiar ponytailed Birkenstockers. He had recently led a successful populist uprising against Congress’s attempt to vote itself a pay raise, and his stock was high on talk-radio dials across America.

More recently, he continued to make odd-bedfellow alliances on issues ranging from global-trade agreements to getting Channel One out of public schools (on which he worked with Phyllis Schlafly). But in the 2000 campaign, Nader came out as a full-blown progressive, taking strong positions on the death penalty, the military budget, health care, gay rights, labor organizing, racial profiling, reparations for slavery, hemp, Palestinian rights — you name it. And while he did focus on the issues surrounding corporate power and democracy that could appeal to an independent skeptic, he saddled himself with the mantle of a fledgling social-democratic party whose core base is mostly crunchy granola.

“I always framed things as an appeal to traditional values,” Nader insisted, when asked if his campaign wasn’t too much like “Noam Chomsky for President.” “I would define the corporatists as the extremists, pointing out their exploitation of children and commercialization of childhood, for example. I was always careful to appeal to conservatives.”

Perhaps. But exit polls show that Nader’s support came predominantly from the left side of the spectrum; obviously, conservatives weren’t hearing him.

Ultimately, there may be a hard lesson here for those of us seeking a way out of the major-party duopoly. Yes, the mythic party of nonvoters outnumbers both Democrats and Republicans, and is potentially more radical. But there are also many independent voters who are open to new choices beyond Tweedledee and Tweedledum — and these people vote more regularly than typical “nonvoters.” Thus, it may make more sense to build a third-party campaign as an independent-populist play rooted in the “radical middle” that came out for Ross Perot in 1992 and Jesse Ventura in 1998.

Such a strategy doesn’t have to mean jettisoning progressive principles — indeed, most of these speak to the majority of Americans when they are framed as appeals to fairness, justice, and democratic empowerment. But it does mean taking very seriously the need to speak to Americans where they are, without expecting them to come all the way over to the progressive side on their own.

Nader’s gamble was that his 37 years as a citizen advocate, his convincing fight for the “little guy,” and his defense of civic over corporate values would transform the Greens into a new kind of populist/social-democratic party. Clearly that didn’t happen — or at best, it is only beginning to happen. Instead, in this campaign, Nader became a “Green” — and despite his best efforts, that term by itself still doesn’t resonate with most Americans.

Micah L. Sifry’s book on third parties in American politics will be published next year by Routledge. This piece was originally written for www.newsforchange.com.

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